identify-assumptions-existing
phuryn/pm-skills
通过采用多角度的“魔鬼代言人”思维,从价值、易用性、可行性和实施性等维度揭示风险假设,对现有产品的功能构想进行压力测试。
...展开全部识别假设(现有产品)
通过“魔鬼代言人”分析法,揭示四个风险领域中的高风险假设。
背景
您正在对 $ARGUMENTS 的一个功能构想进行压力测试。
如果用户提供了文件(设计稿、产品需求文档、调研报告),请先阅读这些文件。
操作指南
用户将描述其产品、目标、细分市场以及功能构想。请按照以下步骤进行:
从三个角度思考该功能可能失败的原因:
- 产品经理视角:商业可行性、市场契合度、战略契合度
- 设计师视角:易用性、用户体验、采用门槛
- 工程师视角:技术可行性、性能、集成挑战
识别四个风险领域的假设:
- 价值:它能否为客户创造价值?能否解决实际问题?
- 易用性:用户能否掌握使用方法?学习曲线是否在可接受范围内?
- 可行性:市场、销售、财务和法务部门能否提供支持?
- 可行性:能否利用现有技术构建?是否存在集成风险?
针对每项假设,请注意:
- 具体可能出现哪些问题
- 您对此的信心程度(高/中/低)
- 建议的验证方法
请逐一分析。要全面且富有建设性——目标是强化这个想法,而不是将其扼杀。
延伸阅读
- 假设优先级画布:如何识别并验证正确的假设
- 作为产品经理如何管理风险
- 持续产品探索大师班(CPDM)(视频课程)
---
name: identify-assumptions-existing
description: Stress-test a feature idea for an existing product by surfacing risky assumptions across Value, Usability, Viability, and Feasibility using multi-perspective devil's advocate thinking.
---
## Identify Assumptions (Existing Product)
Devil's advocate analysis to surface risky assumptions across four risk areas.
### Context
You are stress-testing a feature idea for **$ARGUMENTS**.
If the user provides files (designs, PRDs, research), read them first.
### Instructions
The user will describe their product, objective, market segment, and feature idea. Work through these steps:
1. **Think from three perspectives** about why this feature might fail:
- **Product Manager perspective**: Business viability, market fit, strategic alignment
- **Designer perspective**: Usability, user experience, adoption barriers
- **Engineer perspective**: Technical feasibility, performance, integration challenges
2. **Identify assumptions across four risk areas**:
- **Value**: Will it create value for customers? Does it solve a real problem?
- **Usability**: Will users figure out how to use it? Is the learning curve acceptable?
- **Viability**: Can marketing, sales, finance, and legal support it?
- **Feasibility**: Can it be built with existing technology? Are there integration risks?
3. **For each assumption**, note:
- What specifically could go wrong
- How confident you are (High/Medium/Low)
- Suggested way to test it
Think step by step. Be thorough but constructive — the goal is to strengthen the idea, not kill it.
---
### Further Reading
- [Assumption Prioritization Canvas: How to Identify And Test The Right Assumptions](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/assumption-prioritization-canvas)
- [How to Manage Risks as a Product Manager](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/how-to-manage-risks-as-a-product-manager)
- [Continuous Product Discovery Masterclass (CPDM)](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/cpdm) (video course)
所有文件
1 个文件安装 identify-assumptions-existing
下载技能文件并将其解压到 .claude/skills/ 目录下。
下载ZIP克隆仓库并复制技能文件到您的项目中。
git clone https://github.com/phuryn/pm-skills/tree/main/pm-product-discovery/skills/identify-assumptions-existing # Copy SKILL.md to your .claude/skills/ directory
复制





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