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identify-assumptions-existing

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透過多角度的「魔鬼代言人」思維,針對現有產品的功能構想進行壓力測試,藉此揭露在價值、易用性、可行性及實現性等層面所存在的風險假設。

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更新時間 2026-09-29

辨識假設(現有產品)

透過「魔鬼代言人」分析法,找出橫跨四大風險領域的高風險假設。

背景

您正在針對 $ARGUMENTS 進行一項功能構想的壓力測試。

若使用者提供了相關文件(設計稿、產品需求說明書、研究報告),請先閱讀這些文件。

操作指引

使用者將描述其產品、目標、市場區隔以及功能構想。請依以下步驟進行:

  1. 從三個角度思考此功能可能失敗的原因:

    • 產品經理視角:商業可行性、市場契合度、策略一致性
    • 設計師視角:可用性、使用者體驗、採用門檻
    • 工程師的觀點:技術可行性、效能、整合挑戰
  2. 針對四大風險領域釐清相關假設:

    • 價值:這是否能為客戶創造價值?是否能解決實際問題?
    • 易用性:使用者能否掌握使用方法?學習曲線是否在可接受範圍內?
    • 可行性:行銷、銷售、財務及法務部門能否提供支援?
    • 可行性:能否運用現有技術建置?是否存在整合風險?
  3. 針對每項假設,請註明:

    • 具體可能出現哪些問題
    • 您對此的信心程度(高/中/低)
    • 建議的驗證方法

請循序漸進地思考。務必詳盡且具建設性——目標是強化這個構想,而非扼殺它。

延伸閱讀

  • 假設優先級畫布:如何識別並驗證正確的假設
  • 身為產品經理該如何管理風險
  • 持續產品探索大師班(CPDM)(影片課程)
在 GitHub 上查看
---
name: identify-assumptions-existing
description: Stress-test a feature idea for an existing product by surfacing risky assumptions across Value, Usability, Viability, and Feasibility using multi-perspective devil's advocate thinking.
---

## Identify Assumptions (Existing Product)

Devil's advocate analysis to surface risky assumptions across four risk areas.

### Context

You are stress-testing a feature idea for **$ARGUMENTS**.

If the user provides files (designs, PRDs, research), read them first.

### Instructions

The user will describe their product, objective, market segment, and feature idea. Work through these steps:

1. **Think from three perspectives** about why this feature might fail:
   - **Product Manager perspective**: Business viability, market fit, strategic alignment
   - **Designer perspective**: Usability, user experience, adoption barriers
   - **Engineer perspective**: Technical feasibility, performance, integration challenges

2. **Identify assumptions across four risk areas**:
   - **Value**: Will it create value for customers? Does it solve a real problem?
   - **Usability**: Will users figure out how to use it? Is the learning curve acceptable?
   - **Viability**: Can marketing, sales, finance, and legal support it?
   - **Feasibility**: Can it be built with existing technology? Are there integration risks?

3. **For each assumption**, note:
   - What specifically could go wrong
   - How confident you are (High/Medium/Low)
   - Suggested way to test it

Think step by step. Be thorough but constructive — the goal is to strengthen the idea, not kill it.

---

### Further Reading

- [Assumption Prioritization Canvas: How to Identify And Test The Right Assumptions](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/assumption-prioritization-canvas)
- [How to Manage Risks as a Product Manager](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/how-to-manage-risks-as-a-product-manager)
- [Continuous Product Discovery Masterclass (CPDM)](https://www.productcompass.pm/p/cpdm) (video course)

所有檔案

1 個檔案

安裝 identify-assumptions-existing

請下載並將技能檔案解壓縮至您的 .claude/skills/ 目錄中。

下載 ZIP

複製儲存庫並將技能檔案複製到您的專案中。

git clone https://github.com/phuryn/pm-skills/tree/main/pm-product-discovery/skills/identify-assumptions-existing # Copy SKILL.md to your .claude/skills/ directory

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