HomeAnthropic Eyes Record 2026 IPO as Six-Fold Revenue Growth Nears Musk's Market Cap
Despite not yet going public, AI startup Anthropic has already sparked intense activity in prediction markets. Latest Polymarket data shows investors betting Anthropic will surpass Elon Musk’s SpaceX to claim the title of the world’s largest IPO in 2026. The probability has climbed to 44%, closely trailing SpaceX’s 55%. Just last week, SpaceX maintained a commanding lead in this race.
This rapid convergence and heightened market interest stem from Anthropic’s explosive financial growth. Reports from recent investor updates reveal that annualized revenue surged to $65 billion by late July—more than six times the $9 billion recorded at year-end last year and significantly higher than the $47 billion reported in May. Multiple sources confirm Anthropic is actively preparing for an IPO, potentially launching as early as October this year.
Regarding valuation, SpaceX went public on Nasdaq in June with a $1.8 trillion valuation, raising over $80 billion and setting a record for the largest US IPO in history. Meanwhile, Anthropic’s valuation reached $965 billion during its last public funding round in May. However, some investors anticipate Anthropic’s IPO valuation could hit $2 trillion or more, overtaking SpaceX. Additionally, market forecasts suggest Anthropic’s annualized revenue could reach $100 billion to $120 billion by the end of 2026.
In comparison, rival OpenAI holds a latest valuation of $852 billion, based on June funding data. OpenAI appears to be lagging in its listing timeline. Although it secretly submitted an IPO prospectus to the SEC in June, no specific listing date has been announced. Polymarket data indicates a 78% probability that investors expect OpenAI to delay its IPO until 2027 or later, further underscoring Anthropic’s current advantage in the listing process.
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Despite not yet going public, AI startup Anthropic has already sparked intense activity in prediction markets. Latest Polymarket data shows investors betting Anthropic will surpass Elon Musk’s SpaceX to claim the title of the world’s largest IPO in 2026. The probability has climbed to 44%, closely trailing SpaceX’s 55%. Just last week, SpaceX maintained a commanding lead in this race.
This rapid convergence and heightened market interest stem from Anthropic’s explosive financial growth. Reports from recent investor updates reveal that annualized revenue surged to $65 billion by late July—more than six times the $9 billion recorded at year-end last year and significantly higher than the $47 billion reported in May. Multiple sources confirm Anthropic is actively preparing for an IPO, potentially launching as early as October this year.
Regarding valuation, SpaceX went public on Nasdaq in June with a $1.8 trillion valuation, raising over $80 billion and setting a record for the largest US IPO in history. Meanwhile, Anthropic’s valuation reached $965 billion during its last public funding round in May. However, some investors anticipate Anthropic’s IPO valuation could hit $2 trillion or more, overtaking SpaceX. Additionally, market forecasts suggest Anthropic’s annualized revenue could reach $100 billion to $120 billion by the end of 2026.
In comparison, rival OpenAI holds a latest valuation of $852 billion, based on June funding data. OpenAI appears to be lagging in its listing timeline. Although it secretly submitted an IPO prospectus to the SEC in June, no specific listing date has been announced. Polymarket data indicates a 78% probability that investors expect OpenAI to delay its IPO until 2027 or later, further underscoring Anthropic’s current advantage in the listing process.
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